Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000124 0.000136 0.000150 0.000165 0.000182 0.000200 0.000221
2025-12-07 0.000102 0.000121 0.000142 0.000169 0.000201 0.000239 0.000287
2025-12-14 0.000085 0.000106 0.000132 0.000165 0.000209 0.000264 0.000338
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000094 0.000121 0.000159 0.000211 0.000279 0.000378
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000088 0.000117 0.000160 0.000221 0.000305 0.000433
2026-01-04 0.000060 0.000083 0.000114 0.000161 0.000231 0.000331 0.000492
2026-01-11 0.000054 0.000077 0.000109 0.000159 0.000235 0.000350 0.000540
2026-01-18 0.000050 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000244 0.000375 0.000602
2026-01-25 0.000046 0.000069 0.000102 0.000157 0.000247 0.000391 0.000651
2026-02-01 0.000043 0.000066 0.000100 0.000157 0.000253 0.000413 0.000712
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000062 0.000096 0.000154 0.000255 0.000428 0.000761
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000058 0.000092 0.000151 0.000255 0.000439 0.000805
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000056 0.000091 0.000153 0.000266 0.000473 0.000898
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000091 0.000156 0.000279 0.000511 0.001007
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000087 0.000153 0.000280 0.000527 0.001073
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000048 0.000082 0.000147 0.000276 0.000531 0.001114
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000081 0.000148 0.000284 0.000562 0.001218
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000045 0.000080 0.000149 0.000293 0.000595 0.001332
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000147 0.000295 0.000613 0.001416
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000148 0.000303 0.000646 0.001538
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000146 0.000304 0.000664 0.001627
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000145 0.000310 0.000692 0.001748
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000143 0.000310 0.000707 0.001836